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Key assumptions
This module is based on uses a linear algorithm developed by Rahmstorf, based on extrapolating from increases in temperature and sea level that occurred from between 1881 -and 2001.

This approach was chosen because, according to Rahmstorf the "capability for calculating future sea-level changes...with present physics based models is very limited."

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  • Baseline annual increase in sea level of 3.4 millimeters for each degree Celsius by which GMT in that year exceeds pre-industrial levels (C-LEARN uses this baseline parameter in all of its outputs).
  • User-specified parameter which that enables adjustment of baseline annual increase to take into account faster or slower ice sheet melt (this parameter is adjustable in C-ROADS but not in C-LEARN).

    Parameter value of 1 doubles annual sea level increase per degree of increase in GMT to 6.8 mm per degree Celsius increase in GMT .

    Parameter value of -1 reduces annual sea level increase to 0 mm.

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