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The launch version of the Climate Collaboratorium uses a single climate model, C-LEARN. C-LEARN is a Web-based version of C-ROADS, a simulation of Sustainability Institute and Ventana Systems that is part of the Climate Interactive effort.

In the Collaboratorium, C-LEARN is the primary climate model. It takes greenhouse gas emission and deforestation/aforestation targets as inputs and provides outputs such as atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) and increase in global mean temperature (GMT).

Overview

Name C-LEARN
Brief description C-LEARN is a simplified, Web-accessible version of the Climate Rapid Overview and Decision Support Simulator (CROADS), which is designed for use by policy makers to enable real time assessment of proposals under consideration as a part of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change process.
Model developer(s) Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Elizabeth Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, John Sterman
Institutional affiliation of developer(s) Sustainability Institute, Ventana Systems, and System Dynamics Group, MIT Sloan School of Management
Date created 2008
Date of most recent revision 2009
Model accessibility C-LEARN is available on the Web at http://forio.com/simulation/climate-development/index.htm. C-ROADS can be run on a personal computer using VenSim, a simulation application developed by Ventana Systems. At present the C-ROADS model is used solely in workshops and events moderated by members of the Climate Interactive team.
Documentation Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Elizabeth Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, and John Sterman. C-ROADS Simulator Reference Guide. January, 2009.
Key publications Robert Watson, Eric Beinhocker, Bert de Vries, Klaus Hasselmann, David Lane, Jorgen Randers, Stephen Schneider. Summary Statement from the C‐ROADS Scientific Review Panel. February 2009 (see here for a brief description of the scientific review process and its findings).
Elizabeth R. Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Diana Wright, Travis Franck, Andreas Barkman, Tom Cummings, Felicitas von Peter, Jacqueline McGlade, Robert W. Corell, and John Sterman. Current Emissions Reductions Proposals in the Lead-Up to COP-15 are Likely to be Insufficient to Stabilize Atmospheric CO2 Levels: Using C-ROADS—A Simple Computer Simulation of Climate Change—To Support Long-Term Climate Policy. Climate Change—Global Risks, Challenges, and Decisions Conference, University of Copenhagen. March 2009.

Model attributes

Model type Quick running climate model (get exact text from scientific review)
Geographic scope Global
Geographic resolution 3 regions or emission reduction targets, global for deforestation/aforestation targets
Start date 1850
End date 2100
Time step 0.25 year
Approach for addressing risk/uncertainty Model outputs to not show level of uncertainty associated with simulation
Data sources

Key modules and linkages between them
C-LEARN/C-ROADS is comprised of six sub-models:

  • Regional CO2 emissions
  • Other greenhouse gasses (CH4 and N2O)
  • Land use
  • Carbon cycle
  • Global Average Surface Temperature
  • Sea level rise

Model diagram

Module: Regional CO2 emissions

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

Module: Other greenhouse gasses (CH4 and N2O)

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

Module: Land use

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

Module: Carbon cycle

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

Module: Global Average Surface Temperature

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

Module: Sea level rise

Description
Input variables
Key assumptions Explain in words and include equations if available
Output variables

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