Model type Damage function module of an integrated assessment model.
Geographic scope Global
Geographic resolution
8 regions (European Union, Eastern Europe and former Soviet Union, China and Centrally Planned Asia, India and Southeast Asia, Africa and Middle East, Latin America, Other OECD)
Start date 2000
End date 2200
Time step Various (analysis years are 2000, 2001, 2002, 2010, 2200, 2040, 2060, 2080, 2100, 2150, 2200)
Data sources
The PAGE damage function relies heavily on estimates prepared by IPCC Working Group II for the Third Assessment Report (TAR). See IPCC. 2001. Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In particular, it makes use of chapter 19, Vulnerability to Climate Change and Reasons for Concern: A Synthesis
Approach for addressing risk/uncertainty
PAGE is a stochastic model, with 31 key input variables defined not by a single value, but as a probability distribution of possible values. For each such variable a minimum, maximum, mean, and mode is defined. For each run of the model
Key modules and linkages between them
Note: Include only if multiple modules, and if so, include next major header, “Variables and key assumptions,” for each
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